PREDICTWIRE · LIVEGavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination: 28% ▲ 0.4Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League: 12% ▼ 0.2the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals: 15% ▲ 0.1Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7: 87% ▲ 0.8Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election: 17%Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup: 3% ▼ 0.1the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup: 23% ▲ 1.1J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination: 39% ▲ 0.8the U.S. invade Iran before 2027: 30% ▼ 2.0PREDICTWIRE · LIVEGavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination: 28% ▲ 0.4Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League: 12% ▼ 0.2the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals: 15% ▲ 0.1Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7: 87% ▲ 0.8Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election: 17%Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup: 3% ▼ 0.1the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup: 23% ▲ 1.1J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination: 39% ▲ 0.8the U.S. invade Iran before 2027: 30% ▼ 2.0
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Live Prediction Market Odds

The sharpest real-money probabilities on politics, the Fed, crypto, sports, and AI: one contract per event, filtered for signal. Click any card to trade on the venue.

Polymarket $13.7M Vol
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · 17¢ No · 83¢
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Polymarket $18.1M Vol
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Yes · 15¢ No · 85¢
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Polymarket $23.9M Vol
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · 28¢ No · 72¢
▲ +0.4 pts Trade on Polymarket →
Polymarket $15.5M Vol
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · 17¢ No · 83¢
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Polymarket $2.1M Vol
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3): LCK Rounds 1-2
Yes · 94¢ No · 6¢
▲ +57.0 pts Trade on Polymarket →
Polymarket $12.1M Vol
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · 39¢ No · 61¢
▲ +0.8 pts Trade on Polymarket →
Polymarket $7.4M Vol
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Yes · 29¢ No · 71¢
▲ +12.5 pts Trade on Polymarket →
Polymarket $634K Vol
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Yes · 17¢ No · 83¢
▼ 2.5 pts Trade on Polymarket →
Polymarket $383K Vol
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17?
Yes · 38¢ No · 62¢
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Polymarket $2.7M Vol
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Yes · 30¢ No · 70¢
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Polymarket $2.6M Vol
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Yes · 37¢ No · 63¢
▼ 0.7 pts Trade on Polymarket →
Polymarket $3.0M Vol
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Yes · 36¢ No · 64¢
▲ +3.0 pts Trade on Polymarket →
Polymarket $3.7M Vol
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Yes · 10¢ No · 90¢
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Polymarket $142K Vol
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Yes · 44¢ No · 56¢
▲ +3.5 pts Trade on Polymarket →
Polymarket $19.6M Vol
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025: 26 Champions League?
Yes · 12¢ No · 88¢
▼ 0.2 pts Trade on Polymarket →
Polymarket $7.0M Vol
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes · 11¢ No · 89¢
▼ 4.5 pts Trade on Polymarket →
Polymarket $913K Vol
Hornets vs. Magic
Yes · 60¢ No · 40¢
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Polymarket $11.0M Vol
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Yes · 30¢ No · 70¢
▲ +11.0 pts Trade on Polymarket →
Polymarket $15.7M Vol
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Yes · 87¢ No · 13¢
▲ +0.8 pts Trade on Polymarket →
Polymarket $3.1M Vol
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025: 2026 NBA MVP?
Yes · 95¢ No · 5¢
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Polymarket $749K Vol
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Yes · 8¢ No · 92¢
▼ 1.0 pts Trade on Polymarket →
Polymarket $1.0M Vol
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes · 4¢ No · 96¢
▲ +0.5 pts Trade on Polymarket →
Polymarket $8.5M Vol
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Yes · 4¢ No · 96¢
▲ +1.1 pts Trade on Polymarket →
Polymarket $3.7M Vol
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Yes · 22¢ No · 78¢
▲ +2.0 pts Trade on Polymarket →
Polymarket $485K Vol
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Yes · 94¢ No · 6¢
▼ 0.5 pts Trade on Polymarket →
Polymarket $157K Vol
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 17?
Yes · 12¢ No · 88¢
▼ 9.5 pts Trade on Polymarket →
Polymarket $130K Vol
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Yes · 7¢ No · 93¢
▲ +0.6 pts Trade on Polymarket →
Polymarket $301K Vol
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3): LPL Group Ascend
Yes · 56¢ No · 44¢
▲ +29.0 pts Trade on Polymarket →
Polymarket $608K Vol
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17?
Yes · 62¢ No · 38¢
▲ +4.0 pts Trade on Polymarket →
Polymarket $1.2M Vol
Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Yes · 5¢ No · 95¢
▼ 0.2 pts Trade on Polymarket →
Polymarket $698K Vol
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo
Yes · 70¢ No · 31¢
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Polymarket $6.1M Vol
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Yes · 94¢ No · 6¢
▲ +0.5 pts Trade on Polymarket →
Polymarket $4.6M Vol
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · 40¢ No · 60¢
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Polymarket $855K Vol
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Yes · 8¢ No · 92¢
▲ +1.0 pts Trade on Polymarket →
Polymarket $84K Vol
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 18?
Yes · 6¢ No · 94¢
▼ 0.1 pts Trade on Polymarket →
Polymarket $5.5M Vol
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Yes · 48¢ No · 52¢
▲ +12.5 pts Trade on Polymarket →

Data: Polymarket public Gamma API. Prices shown as the probability of the Yes outcome; 24-hour change in percentage points. Longshot sub-outcomes (<4% or >96%) are suppressed so the page surfaces decisions, not noise.

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