GTA VI released before June 2026? | Wire Signal 52 · CALIBRATED (A)

Market watch · Other

GTA VI released before June 2026?

Live Polymarket contract · 40 days to close ·
$13.7M lifetime volume · captured April 21, 2026.

52

Wire Signal: CALIBRATED
Wire says: The market price looks right. Polymarket has YES at 1¢ (1% chance) and Wire agrees — no clear value on either side right now.

Market price

1.2%

Polymarket YES

Wire’s read

1.9%

calibrated point

Edge

+0.7pp

Wire − Market

Confidence

A

band 1–3%

Where the edge lives

Market vs. Wire on the 0–100¢ axis

The gap between the two pins is the edge. Wire’s read is calibrated against 194,111 historical snapshots.

Market1¢

Wire2¢

0¢ · NO50¢100¢ · YES

Open on Polymarket →

What is this?

A live read on a single Polymarket contract. The market price is what traders are paying for a YES share. Wire’s read is what our archive says a contract priced like this should be worth, based on how similar ones have resolved.

How do I read it?

The Wire Signal is a 0–100 score. Traffic light: 0–35 = NO is the value side, 45–55 = we agree with the market, 65–100 = YES is the value side. Grade is confidence: A strongest, D noisiest.

How do I use it?

Strong zones with a Grade A or B are where Wire thinks there’s a real mispricing. Calibrated zones mean the market is already priced right. Not trading advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.

At a glance

The basics on this contract

Resolves

May 31, 2026

40 days from now

Volume

$13.7M

lifetime trading

Category

Other

per our taxonomy

Wire confidence

A

tight band, high-volume, in the calibration sweet spot

Under the hood

The full Wire Score

Computed from the live Polymarket snapshot captured April 21, 2026. Every number here is reproducible from the methodology.

Metric	Value
Wire Signal (0–100)	52 · CALIBRATED
Calibrated point	1.9%
Raw market price	1.2%
Difference (calibrated − raw)	+0.7pp
Confidence band	1.0–2.7%
Band width	0.86 pp
Grade	A
Lifetime volume	$13,682,470
Days to resolution	40.4
Resolution date	May 31, 2026

Calibration shift

The market and the calibration are in close agreement.

Horizon

1–3 months out — approaching the calibration sweet spot.

Liquidity

Very high liquidity — plenty of traders establishing the price.

About this page. Auto-generated from a live Polymarket snapshot captured April 21, 2026. Wire Score v2.1 (per-category calibration) · Wire Signal v2.2 (consumer-facing 0–100 scale). Editorial Standards apply. Corrections: corrections@predictwire.io. Nothing on this page is trading advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose. PredictWire may earn a commission on qualifying accounts opened through our Polymarket links; this does not influence the Wire Score. Full disclosure.

April 21, 2026

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Wire Signal 75 · YES VALUE (C)

Market watch · Sports

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Live Polymarket contract · 70 days to close ·
$13.7M lifetime volume · captured April 21, 2026.

75

Wire Signal: YES VALUE
Wire says: YES is the value side. The market prices YES at 26¢ (a 26% chance). Wire thinks it’s closer to 45¢ (45%).

Market price

25.5%

Polymarket YES

Wire’s read

44.5%

calibrated point

Edge

+19.0pp

Wire − Market

Confidence

C

band 37–52%

Where the edge lives

Market vs. Wire on the 0–100¢ axis

The gap between the two pins is the edge. Wire’s read is calibrated against 194,111 historical snapshots.

Market26¢

Wire45¢

0¢ · NO50¢100¢ · YES

Open on Polymarket →

What is this?

A live read on a single Polymarket contract. The market price is what traders are paying for a YES share. Wire’s read is what our archive says a contract priced like this should be worth, based on how similar ones have resolved.

How do I read it?

The Wire Signal is a 0–100 score. Traffic light: 0–35 = NO is the value side, 45–55 = we agree with the market, 65–100 = YES is the value side. Grade is confidence: A strongest, D noisiest.

How do I use it?

Strong zones with a Grade A or B are where Wire thinks there’s a real mispricing. Calibrated zones mean the market is already priced right. Not trading advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.

At a glance

The basics on this contract

Resolves

Jun 30, 2026

70 days from now

Volume

$13.7M

lifetime trading

Category

Sports

per our taxonomy

Wire confidence

C

thin market or ugly horizon

Under the hood

The full Wire Score

Computed from the live Polymarket snapshot captured April 21, 2026. Every number here is reproducible from the methodology.

Metric	Value
Wire Signal (0–100)	75 · YES VALUE
Calibrated point	44.5%
Raw market price	25.5%
Difference (calibrated − raw)	+19.0pp
Confidence band	37.1–51.9%
Band width	7.38 pp
Grade	C
Lifetime volume	$13,742,798
Days to resolution	69.9
Resolution date	Jun 30, 2026

Calibration shift

The archive says markets priced here tend to resolve higher than they price. Our calibrated point is above the market.

Horizon

1–3 months out — approaching the calibration sweet spot.

Liquidity

Very high liquidity — plenty of traders establishing the price.

About this page. Auto-generated from a live Polymarket snapshot captured April 21, 2026. Wire Score v2.1 (per-category calibration) · Wire Signal v2.2 (consumer-facing 0–100 scale). Editorial Standards apply. Corrections: corrections@predictwire.io. Nothing on this page is trading advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose. PredictWire may earn a commission on qualifying accounts opened through our Polymarket links; this does not influence the Wire Score. Full disclosure.

April 21, 2026

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Wire Signal 53 · CALIBRATED (A)

Market watch · Sports

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Live Polymarket contract · 90 days to close ·
$13.9M lifetime volume · captured April 21, 2026.

53

Wire Signal: CALIBRATED
Wire says: The market price looks right. Polymarket has YES at 8¢ (8% chance) and Wire agrees — no clear value on either side right now.

Market price

7.7%

Polymarket YES

Wire’s read

8.7%

calibrated point

Edge

+1.0pp

Wire − Market

Confidence

A

band 7–11%

Where the edge lives

Market vs. Wire on the 0–100¢ axis

The gap between the two pins is the edge. Wire’s read is calibrated against 194,111 historical snapshots.

Market8¢

Wire9¢

0¢ · NO50¢100¢ · YES

Open on Polymarket →

What is this?

A live read on a single Polymarket contract. The market price is what traders are paying for a YES share. Wire’s read is what our archive says a contract priced like this should be worth, based on how similar ones have resolved.

How do I read it?

The Wire Signal is a 0–100 score. Traffic light: 0–35 = NO is the value side, 45–55 = we agree with the market, 65–100 = YES is the value side. Grade is confidence: A strongest, D noisiest.

How do I use it?

Strong zones with a Grade A or B are where Wire thinks there’s a real mispricing. Calibrated zones mean the market is already priced right. Not trading advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.

At a glance

The basics on this contract

Resolves

Jul 20, 2026

90 days from now

Volume

$13.9M

lifetime trading

Category

Sports

per our taxonomy

Wire confidence

A

tight band, high-volume, in the calibration sweet spot

Under the hood

The full Wire Score

Computed from the live Polymarket snapshot captured April 21, 2026. Every number here is reproducible from the methodology.

Metric	Value
Wire Signal (0–100)	53 · CALIBRATED
Calibrated point	8.7%
Raw market price	7.7%
Difference (calibrated − raw)	+1.0pp
Confidence band	6.7–10.6%
Band width	1.94 pp
Grade	A
Lifetime volume	$13,920,299
Days to resolution	89.9
Resolution date	Jul 20, 2026

Calibration shift

The archive suggests a small upward shift: historically, markets here have been slightly under-confident.

Horizon

1–3 months out — approaching the calibration sweet spot.

Liquidity

Very high liquidity — plenty of traders establishing the price.

About this page. Auto-generated from a live Polymarket snapshot captured April 21, 2026. Wire Score v2.1 (per-category calibration) · Wire Signal v2.2 (consumer-facing 0–100 scale). Editorial Standards apply. Corrections: corrections@predictwire.io. Nothing on this page is trading advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose. PredictWire may earn a commission on qualifying accounts opened through our Polymarket links; this does not influence the Wire Score. Full disclosure.

April 21, 2026

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Wire Signal 65 · LEAN YES (C)

Market watch · Geopolitics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Live Polymarket contract · 254 days to close ·
$14.1M lifetime volume · captured April 21, 2026.

65

Wire Signal: LEAN YES
Wire says: YES is the value side. The market prices YES at 30¢ (a 30% chance). Wire thinks it’s closer to 38¢ (38%).

Market price

29.5%

Polymarket YES

Wire’s read

38.3%

calibrated point

Edge

+8.8pp

Wire − Market

Confidence

C

band 31–46%

Where the edge lives

Market vs. Wire on the 0–100¢ axis

The gap between the two pins is the edge. Wire’s read is calibrated against 194,111 historical snapshots.

Market30¢

Wire38¢

0¢ · NO50¢100¢ · YES

Open on Polymarket →

What is this?

A live read on a single Polymarket contract. The market price is what traders are paying for a YES share. Wire’s read is what our archive says a contract priced like this should be worth, based on how similar ones have resolved.

How do I read it?

The Wire Signal is a 0–100 score. Traffic light: 0–35 = NO is the value side, 45–55 = we agree with the market, 65–100 = YES is the value side. Grade is confidence: A strongest, D noisiest.

How do I use it?

Strong zones with a Grade A or B are where Wire thinks there’s a real mispricing. Calibrated zones mean the market is already priced right. Not trading advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.

At a glance

The basics on this contract

Resolves

Dec 31, 2026

254 days from now

Volume

$14.1M

lifetime trading

Category

Geopolitics

per our taxonomy

Wire confidence

C

thin market or ugly horizon

Under the hood

The full Wire Score

Computed from the live Polymarket snapshot captured April 21, 2026. Every number here is reproducible from the methodology.

Metric	Value
Wire Signal (0–100)	65 · LEAN YES
Calibrated point	38.3%
Raw market price	29.5%
Difference (calibrated − raw)	+8.8pp
Confidence band	30.7–45.9%
Band width	7.56 pp
Grade	C
Lifetime volume	$14,068,338
Days to resolution	253.9
Resolution date	Dec 31, 2026

Calibration shift

The archive says markets priced here tend to resolve higher than they price. Our calibrated point is above the market.

Horizon

Medium-horizon market (6–12 months).

Liquidity

Very high liquidity — plenty of traders establishing the price.

About this page. Auto-generated from a live Polymarket snapshot captured April 21, 2026. Wire Score v2.1 (per-category calibration) · Wire Signal v2.2 (consumer-facing 0–100 scale). Editorial Standards apply. Corrections: corrections@predictwire.io. Nothing on this page is trading advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose. PredictWire may earn a commission on qualifying accounts opened through our Polymarket links; this does not influence the Wire Score. Full disclosure.

April 21, 2026

Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Wire Signal 51 · CALIBRATED (A)

Market watch · Economy

Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Live Polymarket contract · 193 days to close ·
$14.1M lifetime volume · captured April 21, 2026.

51

Wire Signal: CALIBRATED
Wire says: The market price looks right. Polymarket has YES at 1¢ (1% chance) and Wire agrees — no clear value on either side right now.

Market price

1.2%

Polymarket YES

Wire’s read

1.6%

calibrated point

Edge

+0.3pp

Wire − Market

Confidence

A

band 1–2%

Where the edge lives

Market vs. Wire on the 0–100¢ axis

The gap between the two pins is the edge. Wire’s read is calibrated against 194,111 historical snapshots.

Market1¢

Wire2¢

0¢ · NO50¢100¢ · YES

Open on Polymarket →

What is this?

A live read on a single Polymarket contract. The market price is what traders are paying for a YES share. Wire’s read is what our archive says a contract priced like this should be worth, based on how similar ones have resolved.

How do I read it?

The Wire Signal is a 0–100 score. Traffic light: 0–35 = NO is the value side, 45–55 = we agree with the market, 65–100 = YES is the value side. Grade is confidence: A strongest, D noisiest.

How do I use it?

Strong zones with a Grade A or B are where Wire thinks there’s a real mispricing. Calibrated zones mean the market is already priced right. Not trading advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.

At a glance

The basics on this contract

Resolves

Oct 31, 2026

193 days from now

Volume

$14.1M

lifetime trading

Category

Economy

per our taxonomy

Wire confidence

A

tight band, high-volume, in the calibration sweet spot

Under the hood

The full Wire Score

Computed from the live Polymarket snapshot captured April 21, 2026. Every number here is reproducible from the methodology.

Metric	Value
Wire Signal (0–100)	51 · CALIBRATED
Calibrated point	1.6%
Raw market price	1.2%
Difference (calibrated − raw)	+0.3pp
Confidence band	1.2–2.0%
Band width	0.42 pp
Grade	A
Lifetime volume	$14,138,363
Days to resolution	192.9
Resolution date	Oct 31, 2026

Calibration shift

The market and the calibration are in close agreement.

Horizon

Medium-horizon market (6–12 months).

Liquidity

Very high liquidity — plenty of traders establishing the price.

About this page. Auto-generated from a live Polymarket snapshot captured April 21, 2026. Wire Score v2.1 (per-category calibration) · Wire Signal v2.2 (consumer-facing 0–100 scale). Editorial Standards apply. Corrections: corrections@predictwire.io. Nothing on this page is trading advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose. PredictWire may earn a commission on qualifying accounts opened through our Polymarket links; this does not influence the Wire Score. Full disclosure.

April 21, 2026

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Wire Signal 49 · CALIBRATED (A)

Market watch · Sports

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Live Polymarket contract · 90 days to close ·
$14.3M lifetime volume · captured April 21, 2026.

49

Wire Signal: CALIBRATED
Wire says: The market price looks right. Polymarket has YES at 1¢ (1% chance) and Wire agrees — no clear value on either side right now.

Market price

0.5%

Polymarket YES

Wire’s read

0.2%

calibrated point

Edge

-0.3pp

Wire − Market

Confidence

A

band 0–1%

Where the edge lives

Market vs. Wire on the 0–100¢ axis

The gap between the two pins is the edge. Wire’s read is calibrated against 194,111 historical snapshots.

Market1¢

Wire0¢

0¢ · NO50¢100¢ · YES

Open on Polymarket →

What is this?

A live read on a single Polymarket contract. The market price is what traders are paying for a YES share. Wire’s read is what our archive says a contract priced like this should be worth, based on how similar ones have resolved.

How do I read it?

The Wire Signal is a 0–100 score. Traffic light: 0–35 = NO is the value side, 45–55 = we agree with the market, 65–100 = YES is the value side. Grade is confidence: A strongest, D noisiest.

How do I use it?

Strong zones with a Grade A or B are where Wire thinks there’s a real mispricing. Calibrated zones mean the market is already priced right. Not trading advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.

At a glance

The basics on this contract

Resolves

Jul 20, 2026

90 days from now

Volume

$14.3M

lifetime trading

Category

Sports

per our taxonomy

Wire confidence

A

tight band, high-volume, in the calibration sweet spot

Under the hood

The full Wire Score

Computed from the live Polymarket snapshot captured April 21, 2026. Every number here is reproducible from the methodology.

Metric	Value
Wire Signal (0–100)	49 · CALIBRATED
Calibrated point	0.2%
Raw market price	0.5%
Difference (calibrated − raw)	-0.3pp
Confidence band	0.0–0.5%
Band width	0.33 pp
Grade	A
Lifetime volume	$14,292,338
Days to resolution	89.9
Resolution date	Jul 20, 2026

Calibration shift

The market and the calibration are in close agreement.

Horizon

1–3 months out — approaching the calibration sweet spot.

Liquidity

Very high liquidity — plenty of traders establishing the price.

About this page. Auto-generated from a live Polymarket snapshot captured April 21, 2026. Wire Score v2.1 (per-category calibration) · Wire Signal v2.2 (consumer-facing 0–100 scale). Editorial Standards apply. Corrections: corrections@predictwire.io. Nothing on this page is trading advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose. PredictWire may earn a commission on qualifying accounts opened through our Polymarket links; this does not influence the Wire Score. Full disclosure.

April 21, 2026

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Wire Signal 49 · CALIBRATED (A)

Market watch · Sports

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Live Polymarket contract · 90 days to close ·
$14.4M lifetime volume · captured April 21, 2026.

49

Wire Signal: CALIBRATED
Wire says: The market price looks right. Polymarket has YES at 0¢ (0% chance) and Wire agrees — no clear value on either side right now.

Market price

0.2%

Polymarket YES

Wire’s read

0.1%

calibrated point

Edge

-0.2pp

Wire − Market

Confidence

A

band 0–0%

Where the edge lives

Market vs. Wire on the 0–100¢ axis

The gap between the two pins is the edge. Wire’s read is calibrated against 194,111 historical snapshots.

Market0¢

Wire0¢

0¢ · NO50¢100¢ · YES

Open on Polymarket →

What is this?

A live read on a single Polymarket contract. The market price is what traders are paying for a YES share. Wire’s read is what our archive says a contract priced like this should be worth, based on how similar ones have resolved.

How do I read it?

The Wire Signal is a 0–100 score. Traffic light: 0–35 = NO is the value side, 45–55 = we agree with the market, 65–100 = YES is the value side. Grade is confidence: A strongest, D noisiest.

How do I use it?

Strong zones with a Grade A or B are where Wire thinks there’s a real mispricing. Calibrated zones mean the market is already priced right. Not trading advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.

At a glance

The basics on this contract

Resolves

Jul 20, 2026

90 days from now

Volume

$14.4M

lifetime trading

Category

Sports

per our taxonomy

Wire confidence

A

tight band, high-volume, in the calibration sweet spot

Under the hood

The full Wire Score

Computed from the live Polymarket snapshot captured April 21, 2026. Every number here is reproducible from the methodology.

Metric	Value
Wire Signal (0–100)	49 · CALIBRATED
Calibrated point	0.1%
Raw market price	0.2%
Difference (calibrated − raw)	-0.2pp
Confidence band	0.0–0.3%
Band width	0.21 pp
Grade	A
Lifetime volume	$14,397,133
Days to resolution	89.9
Resolution date	Jul 20, 2026

Calibration shift

The market and the calibration are in close agreement.

Horizon

1–3 months out — approaching the calibration sweet spot.

Liquidity

Very high liquidity — plenty of traders establishing the price.

About this page. Auto-generated from a live Polymarket snapshot captured April 21, 2026. Wire Score v2.1 (per-category calibration) · Wire Signal v2.2 (consumer-facing 0–100 scale). Editorial Standards apply. Corrections: corrections@predictwire.io. Nothing on this page is trading advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose. PredictWire may earn a commission on qualifying accounts opened through our Polymarket links; this does not influence the Wire Score. Full disclosure.

April 21, 2026

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Wire Signal 48 · CALIBRATED (A)

Market watch · Sports

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Live Polymarket contract · 90 days to close ·
$14.5M lifetime volume · captured April 21, 2026.

48

Wire Signal: CALIBRATED
Wire says: The market price looks right. Polymarket has YES at 2¢ (2% chance) and Wire agrees — no clear value on either side right now.

Market price

1.8%

Polymarket YES

Wire’s read

1.3%

calibrated point

Edge

-0.6pp

Wire − Market

Confidence

A

band 0–2%

Where the edge lives

Market vs. Wire on the 0–100¢ axis

The gap between the two pins is the edge. Wire’s read is calibrated against 194,111 historical snapshots.

Market2¢

Wire1¢

0¢ · NO50¢100¢ · YES

Open on Polymarket →

What is this?

A live read on a single Polymarket contract. The market price is what traders are paying for a YES share. Wire’s read is what our archive says a contract priced like this should be worth, based on how similar ones have resolved.

How do I read it?

The Wire Signal is a 0–100 score. Traffic light: 0–35 = NO is the value side, 45–55 = we agree with the market, 65–100 = YES is the value side. Grade is confidence: A strongest, D noisiest.

How do I use it?

Strong zones with a Grade A or B are where Wire thinks there’s a real mispricing. Calibrated zones mean the market is already priced right. Not trading advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.

At a glance

The basics on this contract

Resolves

Jul 20, 2026

90 days from now

Volume

$14.5M

lifetime trading

Category

Sports

per our taxonomy

Wire confidence

A

tight band, high-volume, in the calibration sweet spot

Under the hood

The full Wire Score

Computed from the live Polymarket snapshot captured April 21, 2026. Every number here is reproducible from the methodology.

Metric	Value
Wire Signal (0–100)	48 · CALIBRATED
Calibrated point	1.3%
Raw market price	1.8%
Difference (calibrated − raw)	-0.6pp
Confidence band	0.5–2.0%
Band width	0.77 pp
Grade	A
Lifetime volume	$14,498,749
Days to resolution	89.9
Resolution date	Jul 20, 2026

Calibration shift

The market and the calibration are in close agreement.

Horizon

1–3 months out — approaching the calibration sweet spot.

Liquidity

Very high liquidity — plenty of traders establishing the price.

About this page. Auto-generated from a live Polymarket snapshot captured April 21, 2026. Wire Score v2.1 (per-category calibration) · Wire Signal v2.2 (consumer-facing 0–100 scale). Editorial Standards apply. Corrections: corrections@predictwire.io. Nothing on this page is trading advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose. PredictWire may earn a commission on qualifying accounts opened through our Polymarket links; this does not influence the Wire Score. Full disclosure.

April 21, 2026

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Wire Signal 47 · CALIBRATED (A)

Market watch · Crypto

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Live Polymarket contract · 90 days to close ·
$14.5M lifetime volume · captured April 21, 2026.

47

Wire Signal: CALIBRATED
Wire says: The market price looks right. Polymarket has YES at 3¢ (3% chance) and Wire agrees — no clear value on either side right now.

Market price

3.4%

Polymarket YES

Wire’s read

2.5%

calibrated point

Edge

-0.9pp

Wire − Market

Confidence

A

band 1–4%

Where the edge lives

Market vs. Wire on the 0–100¢ axis

The gap between the two pins is the edge. Wire’s read is calibrated against 194,111 historical snapshots.

Market3¢

Wire2¢

0¢ · NO50¢100¢ · YES

Open on Polymarket →

What is this?

A live read on a single Polymarket contract. The market price is what traders are paying for a YES share. Wire’s read is what our archive says a contract priced like this should be worth, based on how similar ones have resolved.

How do I read it?

The Wire Signal is a 0–100 score. Traffic light: 0–35 = NO is the value side, 45–55 = we agree with the market, 65–100 = YES is the value side. Grade is confidence: A strongest, D noisiest.

How do I use it?

Strong zones with a Grade A or B are where Wire thinks there’s a real mispricing. Calibrated zones mean the market is already priced right. Not trading advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.

At a glance

The basics on this contract

Resolves

Jul 20, 2026

90 days from now

Volume

$14.5M

lifetime trading

Category

Crypto

per our taxonomy

Wire confidence

A

tight band, high-volume, in the calibration sweet spot

Under the hood

The full Wire Score

Computed from the live Polymarket snapshot captured April 21, 2026. Every number here is reproducible from the methodology.

Metric	Value
Wire Signal (0–100)	47 · CALIBRATED
Calibrated point	2.5%
Raw market price	3.4%
Difference (calibrated − raw)	-0.9pp
Confidence band	1.0–3.9%
Band width	1.42 pp
Grade	A
Lifetime volume	$14,505,277
Days to resolution	89.9
Resolution date	Jul 20, 2026

Calibration shift

The archive suggests a small downward shift: historically, markets here have been slightly over-confident.

Horizon

1–3 months out — approaching the calibration sweet spot.

Liquidity

Very high liquidity — plenty of traders establishing the price.

About this page. Auto-generated from a live Polymarket snapshot captured April 21, 2026. Wire Score v2.1 (per-category calibration) · Wire Signal v2.2 (consumer-facing 0–100 scale). Editorial Standards apply. Corrections: corrections@predictwire.io. Nothing on this page is trading advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose. PredictWire may earn a commission on qualifying accounts opened through our Polymarket links; this does not influence the Wire Score. Full disclosure.

April 21, 2026

Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Wire Signal 49 · CALIBRATED (A)

Market watch · Sports

Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Live Polymarket contract · 71 days to close ·
$14.5M lifetime volume · captured April 21, 2026.

49

Wire Signal: CALIBRATED
Wire says: The market price looks right. Polymarket has YES at 0¢ (0% chance) and Wire agrees — no clear value on either side right now.

Market price

0.2%

Polymarket YES

Wire’s read

0.1%

calibrated point

Edge

-0.2pp

Wire − Market

Confidence

A

band 0–0%

Where the edge lives

Market vs. Wire on the 0–100¢ axis

The gap between the two pins is the edge. Wire’s read is calibrated against 194,111 historical snapshots.

Market0¢

Wire0¢

0¢ · NO50¢100¢ · YES

Open on Polymarket →

What is this?

A live read on a single Polymarket contract. The market price is what traders are paying for a YES share. Wire’s read is what our archive says a contract priced like this should be worth, based on how similar ones have resolved.

How do I read it?

The Wire Signal is a 0–100 score. Traffic light: 0–35 = NO is the value side, 45–55 = we agree with the market, 65–100 = YES is the value side. Grade is confidence: A strongest, D noisiest.

How do I use it?

Strong zones with a Grade A or B are where Wire thinks there’s a real mispricing. Calibrated zones mean the market is already priced right. Not trading advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.

At a glance

The basics on this contract

Resolves

Jul 01, 2026

71 days from now

Volume

$14.5M

lifetime trading

Category

Sports

per our taxonomy

Wire confidence

A

tight band, high-volume, in the calibration sweet spot

Under the hood

The full Wire Score

Computed from the live Polymarket snapshot captured April 21, 2026. Every number here is reproducible from the methodology.

Metric	Value
Wire Signal (0–100)	49 · CALIBRATED
Calibrated point	0.1%
Raw market price	0.2%
Difference (calibrated − raw)	-0.2pp
Confidence band	0.0–0.3%
Band width	0.21 pp
Grade	A
Lifetime volume	$14,544,852
Days to resolution	70.9
Resolution date	Jul 01, 2026

Calibration shift

The market and the calibration are in close agreement.

Horizon

1–3 months out — approaching the calibration sweet spot.

Liquidity

Very high liquidity — plenty of traders establishing the price.

About this page. Auto-generated from a live Polymarket snapshot captured April 21, 2026. Wire Score v2.1 (per-category calibration) · Wire Signal v2.2 (consumer-facing 0–100 scale). Editorial Standards apply. Corrections: corrections@predictwire.io. Nothing on this page is trading advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose. PredictWire may earn a commission on qualifying accounts opened through our Polymarket links; this does not influence the Wire Score. Full disclosure.

April 21, 2026

Author: pw_admin

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