PREDICTWIRE · LIVEGavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination: 28% ▲ 0.4Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League: 12% ▼ 0.2the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals: 15% ▲ 0.1Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7: 87% ▲ 0.8Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election: 17%Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup: 3% ▼ 0.1the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup: 23% ▲ 1.1J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination: 39% ▲ 0.8the U.S. invade Iran before 2027: 30% ▼ 2.0PREDICTWIRE · LIVEGavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination: 28% ▲ 0.4Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League: 12% ▼ 0.2the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals: 15% ▲ 0.1Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7: 87% ▲ 0.8Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election: 17%Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup: 3% ▼ 0.1the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup: 23% ▲ 1.1J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination: 39% ▲ 0.8the U.S. invade Iran before 2027: 30% ▼ 2.0

Kalshi Weekly Odds Roundup: What Markets Are Pricing In Right Now

Here’s your weekly roundup of the most important markets on Kalshi – what’s moving, what’s stable, and where the biggest trading opportunities are this week.

Top Economic Markets

Fed Rate Cut (June): 62% YES – up 8 points on the week. CPI Below 3% (April): 71% YES. US Recession 2026: 31% YES – creeping higher week over week. GDP Growth Q2 Above 2%: 58% YES.

Top Political Markets

GOP Senate Control 2026: 54% YES. Dem House Takeover: 48% YES – essentially a coin flip. Presidential Approval Above 50%: 34% YES. These are among the most liquid political contracts on the platform.

Crypto Markets

Bitcoin Above $90K (May): 52% YES. Ethereum Above $3K (June): 44% YES. Crypto Market Cap Above $3T EOY: 61% YES.

Highest Volume Contracts This Week

By trading volume, the top five Kalshi contracts this week are: (1) Fed June rate cut, (2) Senate control 2026, (3) Bitcoin $100K by June, (4) House control 2026, (5) S&P 500 above 6,000 EOY.

Trade on Kalshi

All markets above are live on Kalshi right now. Sign up in under 5 minutes with a $1 minimum deposit. For global markets with higher liquidity, check Polymarket.


Related on PredictWire


About this article: Written and reviewed by The PredictWire Research Team under our Editorial Standards. Platform rankings follow our public Methodology. Prediction market contracts carry risk of total loss. Nothing here is financial advice. Corrections: corrections@predictwire.io.